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How Do I Build an Effective Lead Scoring Model?

Align to ICP, blend Fit + Intent + Recency − Risk, add decay, and prove it with backtesting—then route A/B leads immediately in HubSpot.

Contact Us Get the Revenue Marketing eGuide

Build a score that predicts meetings and SQLs, not clicks. Start with Fit (ICP tier, firmographics), Intent (high-value behaviors), Recency (fresh engagement), and Risk (disqualifiers). Weight signals, add time decay and negative points, map to A/B/C bands, then route A/B via lists and workflows. Validate with dashboards that compare conversion by band and adjust monthly.

Lead Scoring Building Blocks

Define outcomes — optimize for booked meetings, SQLs, and opportunities (not just MQLs).
Select signals — Fit (ICP, industry, size), Intent (pricing/product views, demo forms), Recency (last activity), and Risk (no consent, invalid email).
Weight & normalize — bigger points for buying signals; cap duplicates; add decay over time.
Band thresholds — A (sales-ready), B (nurture + monitor), C (disqualify/suppress).
Backtest & iterate — measure lift by band, refresh monthly, and tune weights.

Design a High-Signal Scoring Model in HubSpot

Anchor on your Ideal Customer Profile. Score Fit via ICP tier, industry, employee count, HQ region, and target account lists. Add Intent from pricing/product page views, high-depth forms, webinar attendance, and return visits. Layer Recency with “days since last interaction.” Subtract Risk for free domains, missing consent, student emails, or excluded industries.

Implement in HubSpot as a Score/Priority property or Predictive Score (when available). Map score to bands (e.g., A ≥ 80, B 60–79, C < 60). Build Active Lists for A/B, and suppression lists for Risk. Use Workflows to assign owners, create tasks, trigger alerts, and enroll sequences with speed-to-lead SLAs. Add time decay so scores cool if engagement stops.

Prove it with backtesting: dashboards showing meeting rate, SQL rate, and opportunity creation by score band and by source. If A-band doesn’t materially outperform B/C, revisit weights—intent + recency often carry the strongest signal. Keep data hygiene tight (dedupe, verify email, enforce consent), and review monthly.

30-Day Lead Scoring Sprint (HubSpot)

  • Days 1–5: Define success metrics; list Fit/Intent/Recency/Risk signals; draft weights and decay.
  • Days 6–10: Build Score property; create A/B/C bands; add negative points for Risk.
  • Days 11–20: Create Active & suppression lists; turn on routing workflows, alerts, tasks, SLAs.
  • Days 21–30: Launch dashboards; backtest conversion by band & source; tune thresholds and weights.

Frequently Asked Questions

What should I optimize the score for?
Optimize for meetings and SQLs that lead to opportunities. Track lift in those outcomes by score band.
How do I handle time decay?
Decrease points as engagement ages (e.g., minus X after 14/30/60 days). Keep Fit stable; decay Intent/Recency only.
Do I need predictive scoring?
No. A clear manual model works well. Predictive can augment once you have enough labeled outcomes and clean data.
What are common pitfalls?
Scoring vanity clicks, never subtracting Risk, skipping decay, and failing to validate with real conversion data.
How often should I recalibrate thresholds?
Review weekly at launch; move to monthly. Adjust A/B/C cutoffs so A-band maintains clear conversion lift over B/C.

Ship a Score That Sales Trusts

We’ll design your scoring, lists, routing, decay, and dashboards—then backtest against real conversions so reps focus where the odds are highest.

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